Thursday, August 13, 2009

SANTA MONICA, CA - APRIL 15:  Demonstrators ga...Image by Getty Images via Daylife

A good IIP number is a good news for the economy. Also because this has showing signs of improvements from some time now, this coupled with a healthy credit growth and ample liquidity will defiantly propel economy forward. I am sure the capex will start again and so the good numbers from companies.
What can really change the consumption in the economy is a proposed plan to change the tax slab from current 1.5, 3 & 5 million to 1.6, 10 & 25 million. I think following will be the implications of the change;
  1. this is a fantastic news for the internal consumption, and for FMCG companies.
  2. India has about 15% of the world population, and a huge middle class. A change in consumption pattern might lead to inflation
  3. Fiscal deficit will surly go up; improving the number of tax payers, that the government is talking about may not be all that easy. So the fiscal deficit will go up.
  4. It's a simple rule one gets money, when you have enough of it. All this money will improve savings and investments, which will in turn attracts more investments from FII and FDI.
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